Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.161162 0.190765 0.223931 0.263795 0.310361 0.362987 0.426930
2025-07-20 0.125803 0.166266 0.216443 0.283031 0.368851 0.475497 0.617826
2025-07-27 0.102997 0.148085 0.208482 0.294842 0.414631 0.574323 0.802669
2025-08-03 0.084045 0.129694 0.194914 0.294135 0.440364 0.646854 0.959195
2025-08-10 0.067740 0.111328 0.177267 0.283222 0.447898 0.692406 1.080737
2025-08-17 0.054672 0.095190 0.159768 0.268824 0.446659 0.722893 1.181199
2025-08-24 0.047576 0.087245 0.153496 0.270448 0.469463 0.791170 1.345844
2025-08-31 0.040149 0.077378 0.142395 0.262117 0.474242 0.830292 1.466783
2025-09-07 0.035857 0.072325 0.138666 0.265603 0.498898 0.904003 1.652134
2025-09-14 0.031879 0.067172 0.133924 0.266404 0.518488 0.970499 1.831253
2025-09-21 0.027935 0.061416 0.127186 0.262417 0.528496 1.020552 1.985514
2025-09-28 0.024655 0.056466 0.121264 0.259080 0.539033 1.072138 2.147113
2025-10-05 0.022936 0.054746 0.121955 0.269839 0.579996 1.188143 2.448904
2025-10-12 0.022057 0.054771 0.126344 0.289010 0.640660 1.349494 2.857919
2025-10-19 0.020639 0.053310 0.127315 0.300986 0.687837 1.489163 3.238808
2025-10-26 0.018461 0.049645 0.122827 0.300255 0.707642 1.575050 3.518671
2025-11-02 0.015909 0.044578 0.114328 0.289125 0.702982 1.608979 3.692701
2025-11-09 0.013518 0.039471 0.104924 0.274441 0.688197 1.619180 3.816133
2025-11-16 0.012313 0.037311 0.102423 0.276096 0.711661 1.715935 4.140545
2025-11-23 0.010767 0.033907 0.096230 0.267599 0.709581 1.754551 4.337160
2025-11-30 0.009939 0.032414 0.094807 0.271155 0.737586 1.865507 4.712260
2025-12-07 0.009086 0.030684 0.092478 0.271972 0.758726 1.962319 5.063616
2025-12-14 0.008146 0.028504 0.088563 0.267905 0.766661 2.027920 5.346140